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Medical Image Analysis

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Medical Image Analysis's content profile, based on 33 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.06% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
High Resolution Multi-depth Quantification of the Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer

Callet, C.; Bertrand, M.; Guzman, K.; Mece, P.; Rossi, E. A.; Grieve, K.

2026-06-01 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353127 medRxiv
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The retinal nerve fiber layer, composed of axon bundles converging toward the optic nerve, is a key biomarker for diagnosing and monitoring glaucoma and other neurodegenerative diseases. High-resolution en face imaging of individual nerve fiber bundles offers morphological information beyond what conventional optical coherence tomography provides, yet clinical integration remains limited by the lack of automated analysis tools and normative data. Here, we imaged 14 healthy volunteers using time-domain full-field optical coherence tomography and adaptive optics scanning laser ophthalmoscopy, and developed automated pipelines to quantify bundle width, trajectory, tortuosity, and orientation. Bundles were on average 25% wider at shallower retinal depths, width measurements were consistent across imaging modalities, and estimated axon count per bundle decreased significantly with age. Global trajectory analysis revealed systematic deviations of high resolution data from existing mathematical models, particularly in the temporal sector, leading us to propose two refined trajectory models. These normative results provide a foundation for high resolution biomarkers for use in investigations of retinal neurodegeneration.

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Deep learning optimisation for cardiology: Neural Architecture Search-driven arrhythmia classification with electrocardiograms

Vanegas Mueller, E.; Joe-Oshodi, A.; Banerjee, A.; Villarroel, M.

2026-05-30 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354348 medRxiv
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Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death worldwide. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) accounts for roughly 50% of all cardiac deaths. The electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely used for early diagnosis of cardiac disease. However, the complexity of accurate interpretation limits the ECG's efficacy. Modern deep learning methods have been applied to assist clinicians in diagnosis. We applied Neural Architecture Search (NAS), an automated machine learning technique, to identify optimal deep learning architectures for classifying cardiac arrhythmias from ECGs. We applied the Differentiable Architecture Search strategy to an AutoFormer search space to identify optimal self-attention architectures for arrhythmia classification. We trained, validated, and tested the resulting model on the PhysioNet Challenge 2021 dataset (n = 88,253), comprising ECGs across three continents. We performed a hyperparameter optimisation on the NAS output, exploring input patch size, class weighting, and loss function. We evaluated performance using the PhysioNet Challenge metric and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The NAS converged towards minimal architectural configurations (embedding dimension: 384, depth: 4, self-attention heads: 4, MLP ratio: 1) with a validation challenge metric of 0.66 (PhysioNet Challenge 21 Winner: 0.63). The NAS-created network achieved an AUROC of 0.97 and a challenge metric of 0.71 during testing. Normal Sinus Rhythm and Sinus Tachycardia achieved AUROCs of 0.99. Low-QRS Voltage and T-wave abnormality were the worst-performing arrhythmias, with AUROCs of 0.89 and 0.90, respectively. We interpret that architectural simplicity drives performance in arrhythmia classification. Because SCD is unexpected, prevention strategies in free-living environments require lightweight computational resources suitable for wearable devices. Class imbalance fundamentally limits classification performance for rare arrhythmias such as Low-QRS Voltage and T-wave inversion, irrespective of hyperparameter choices. However, the self-attention mechanism can autonomously abstract clinical representations, simplifying clinical deployment by eliminating the need for an explicit feature-extraction pipeline.

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Left Ventricular Volume and Function Assessment Using a Reduced-Slice Approach in Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance

Tejaswi, A.; Fyrdahl, A.; Sigfridsson, A.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354413 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) quantification of the left ventricular (LV) volumes and ejection fraction (EF) typically involves manual segmentation of many short axis (SAx) and long axis (LAx) slices of the left ventricle. The scan time and the number of breath holds is proportional to the number of slices. We aimed to evaluate a geometric model of the left ventricle that could enable planimetry from a reduced number of slices. We sought to determine whether acceptable accuracy was retained for evaluating the End Diastolic Volume (EDV), End Systolic Volume (ESV), Stroke Volume (SV), and EF to provide a rapid and reliable clinical alternative. Methods: A cohort of 342 patients, median age: 54 (40 - 65) years, with full-stack CMR examinations was used. Nine geometrical combinations were evaluated: 3, 4 or 5 short axis slices and one of three LAx orientations (2-chamber, 3-chamber or 4-chamber) by retrospectively decimating the full-stack acquisition. LV volumes were calculated as a sum of trapezoidal approximations for apical and mid-cavity slices and a generalized prismoidal model at the base. The accuracy of the volume calculations was quantified against the full-stack reference for the EDV, ESV, SV, and EF using concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), two-way repeated measures ANOVA, pairwise tests, and Bayes factor log10(BF10) analysis. Results: The choice of the long axis (LAx) view was the most influential driver of accuracy (g2 = 0.104, for EDV), approximately 50 times more impactful than the number of SAx slices (g2 = 0.002, for EDV). Volumes calculated using the combination of 2-chamber LAx view and 5 SAx slices had the highest concordance with the full stack (CCC>0.90). While the estimated absolute volumes displayed a systematic negative bias, EF and SV remained highly robust due to bias cancellation. For a 2ch + 5 SAx protocol, EF bias was just 0.83% (LoA: -6.18 to 7.84%), with a minimum detectable change (MDC) of 7.01%, compared to 8.7% reported for expert human readers, suggesting strong concordance. Bayesian paired-samples t-tests yielded log10(BF10) = 6.42 in favor of 5 SAx over 3 SAx, constituting decisive evidence on the Jeffreys scale. The bias and limits of agreement (LoA) for stroke volume and ejection fraction were found to be lower than scan-rescan reproducibility in literature. Conclusion: This reduced-slice geometric model allows for reduced number of breath holds compared to a conventional full-stack CMR acquisition and provides an acceptable accuracy with bias less than scan-rescan variability.

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TopBrain Segmentation Challenge for Whole Brain Vessel Anatomy

Yang, K.; Shi, P.; Huang, H.; Musio, F.; Baazaoui, H.; Aydin, O. U.; Hilbert, A.; Hamadache, R. E.; Yalcin, C.; Zhang, M.; Falcetta, D.; de la Rosa, E.; Shit, S.; Prabhakar, C.; Wittmann, B.; Rokuss, M. R.; Kirchhoff, Y.; Al-Maskari, R.; Hoeher, L.; Juchler, N.; Casamitjana, A.; Cleary, J.; Schmick, A.; Baumgartner, P.; Deseoe, J.; Vandans, O.; Lee, D.; Oh, K.; LaBella, D.; Mazher, M.; Niederer, S. A.; Qayyum, A.; Liu, Y.; Chen, J.; Kim, W.; Asawalertsak, N.; Kim, M.; Shin, D.; Park, S.-H.; Kikuchi, S.; Zhang, Y.; Liu, J.; Cui, Y.; Qiu, Y.; Verschuur, A.; Zhang, J.; van der Schaaf, I.; Su, R.;

2026-05-30 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354312 medRxiv
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We present the TopBrain 2025 Challenge, the first benchmark for fine-grained multiclass segmentation of the whole brain vasculature in both computed tomography angiography (CTA) and magnetic resonance angiography (MRA). Building on the TopCoW challenge, TopBrain scales vessel annotation from the Circle of Willis to the entire brain, introducing a dataset of 90 annotated volumes across 48 landmark vessel classes spanning arterial and venous systems, of which 50 training volumes are publicly released. Vessel definitions were consolidated from established neuroanatomical references into a unified annotation scheme, and vessel caliber measurements along the centerline are reported for the first time across the whole brain vascular anatomy. To address the unique challenges of multiclass brain vessel segmentation, we propose an evaluation framework that accounts for detection in segmentation performance, assesses anatomical plausibility, and introduces novel contamination metrics that characterize inter-class prediction errors. Fifteen teams from over 220 registered participants submitted algorithms to the benchmark. The top-performing teams built on nnUNet with principled system design choices, achieving around 80% Dice scores, near-zero invalid neighbor counts, over 60% F1 scores for side-road vessels, and below 18% foreground contamination ratio. Larger vessels are easier to segment, while smaller and more complex vessels remain the true bottleneck. The annotated datasets and podium-finish algorithms are made publicly available on Zenodo.

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A Consensus-Driven Stacking Ensemble Framework for Interpretable Cardiovascular Risk Prediction and Clinical Deployment

Sozol, S. S.; Dev Nath, B. C.; Fahim, F. M. S.; Suzana, N. N.; Mirza, J. F.; Ahmmed, S.; Zohra, F.-T.; Zafr, A. H. A.; Uddin, M. N.; Mondal, M. R. H.; Hoque, A. S. M. L.

2026-05-26 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.18.26352989 medRxiv
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Machine learning (ML) is being considered to help diagnose cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Still, challenges like inconsistent and limited datasets, limited infrastructure, and global inequalities lead to the need for a reliable and practicable ML solution. This paper presents an ML-driven framework for predicting CVD risk scores and classifying status. Several data preprocessing techniques, including multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE), outlier removal, are considered. In addition, hyperparameter tuning is performed with the GridSearchCV tuning technique. Moreover, a consensus-driven five-feature selection method is applied to identify optimal predictors. The dataset used in this study contains healthcare records related to future CVD risk scores, comprising 1,529 patient records with 22 features. The optimized stacked ensemble model is applied to the dataset and achieves a cross-validated coefficient of determination value of 98.13% for CVD risk score regression. Comparative evaluation with other ML models confirmed improved accuracy, efficiency, and interpretability. The explainable AI technique SHAP is applied to interpret predictions and highlight key risk factors. Moreover, a deployment-ready web platform with multi-role access has been developed that demonstrates clinical applicability. The proposed framework offers a reliable and interpretable tool for early detection of CVD and personalized risk assessment. In the future, this work can be extended to integrate longitudinal data, medical imaging, and deep learning to improve generalizability and strengthen real-world impact.

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From CCTA to Surgical Strategy: An Integrated AI Framework for Patient-Specific Coronary artery bypass grafting Planning

Rezaeitaleshmahalleh, M.; Masoumi, S.; Debalme, E.; Sundt, T. M.; Aranki, S. F.; Shin, B.; Nezami, F. R.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354400 medRxiv
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Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) remains the standard of care for complex multivessel and left main coronary artery disease. However, current preoperative planning remains largely subjective, relying on qualitative interpretation of coronary CT angiography (CCTA), operator-dependent stenosis grading, and fragmented multi-software workflows. Invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR), the reference standard for physiologic lesion assessment, is infrequently acquired preoperatively, leaving distal anastomosis planning without an objective hemodynamic basis. Methods: We developed a fully automated, AI-powered platform that converts routine CCTA into a patient-specific CABG planning workflow through five integrated modules: nnU-Net based segmentation of coronary lumen and calcification; quantitative morphological and topological characterization generating more than thirty descriptors; automated stenosis detection using a local reference-radius formulation; a nine-point composite scoring framework for distal anastomosis site selection incorporating luminal caliber, landing-zone length, calcification burden, distal perfusion reserve, and bifurcation proximity; and interactive virtual graft construction coupled to a distributed reduced-order solver for pre- and post-bypass FFR estimation. Results: Lumen segmentation achieved a mean Dice similarity coefficient of 0.96 {+/-} 0.01, whereas calcium segmentation achieved 0.73 {+/-} 0.15 on the held-out cohort. Platform-derived FFR demonstrated strong agreement with invasively measured FFR (r=0.96, mean absolute relative difference 1.73 {+/-}1.42%) across the evaluated lesions, supporting the physiologic validity of the reduced-order hemodynamic solver. End-to-end analysis from raw CCTA to hemodynamic assessment and virtual graft planning was completed in approximately seven minutes per case on a standard workstation, representing a substantial reduction in processing time compared with conventional multi-tool and CFD-based workflows. Conclusions: The proposed platform demonstrates the feasibility of rapid, reproducible, and physiology-informed CABG planning using routine CCTA. By integrating anatomical characterization, automated target-site analysis, virtual graft construction, and reduced-order hemodynamic assessment into a single workflow, the framework provides objective, quantitative surgical decision support compatible with routine clinical workflows. Keywords: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG); Fractional flow reserve (FFR); Coronary CT angiography (CCTA); Surgical planning

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Gray Matter Morphological Networks are Associated with Neurobiological Features, Cognitive Status and Clinical Recovery in Traumatic Brain Injury

Sadikov, A.; Cai, L. T.; Xiao, J.; Yuh, E. L.; Choi, H. L.; Sun, X.; Mac Donald, C. L.; Vassar, M. J.; Diaz-Arrastia, R.; Giacino, J. T.; Okonkwo, D. O.; Robertson, C. S.; Stein, M. B.; Temkin, N.; McCrea, M. A.; Jain, S.; Manley, G. T.; Mukherjee, P.; TRACK-TBI Investigators,

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354074 medRxiv
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Generalizable neuroimaging biomarkers that detect cerebral cortical changes after traumatic brain injury (TBI) and predict patient outcomes are needed to improve care and to develop targeted therapies. We used morphometric inverse divergence (MIND) analysis of structural MRI to investigate cortical gray matter morphological networks cross-sectionally and longitudinally after TBI and correlate these with symptoms, disability and cognition six months after injury. Our findings support the Triple Network Model from functional MRI of post-traumatic alterations in the relationship between task-positive, default mode and salience networks. However, the strongest associations between early cortical similarity metrics and long-term patient outcomes involved the dorsal attention network and the limbic network as well as similarity metrics across Mesulam's hierarchy of laminar differentiation. Since MIND mapping of cortical gray matter networks only requires data that is a routine part of standard clinical MRI protocols and does not need image harmonization across different scanners, this work reports a promising new tool that is immediately available for advancing research and clinical care in TBI.

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Automated quantification of cerebral microbleeds for ARIA-H monitoring in Aging and Alzheimer's Disease: A multicenter deep learning validation

Low, Z. X. B.; Rowsthorn, E.; Nazem-Zadeh, M.-R.; Francis, M.; Robb, C.; Howcroft, M.; Whiriskey, R.; Brodtmann, A.; McNeil, J. J.; Law, M.

2026-05-26 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353364 medRxiv
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We trained a self-configuring nnU-Net model for CMB segmentation in a heterogeneous multicenter sample (n=264), including 1.5T and 3T field strengths, SWI and T2*-GRE sequences, and community and clinical cohorts. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold cross-validation with a focus on object-level detection metrics. Real-world performance was evaluated on scans from an unseen dataset of people with cerebrovascular disease (n=20). The model achieved 0.82 cluster Dice, 0.88 precision, and 0.77 sensitivity on hold-out test data. Notably, the model demonstrated a low false-positive rate, averaging 0.58 false positives (FPs) per scan, an improvement on existing publicly available models. The model achieved high performance in dataset of those with Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment (0.89 cluster Dice, 0.94 sensitivity), supporting its utility in clinical settings where ARIA-H monitoring is critical. In external validation, the model maintained high robustness with 0.79 sensitivity and 0.95 FPs per scan. By leveraging a heterogenous training strategy and a self-adapting architecture, we demonstrate that deep learning can achieve high-precision CMB detection that is robust to domain shifts. The low FP rate suggests this publicly available pipeline is suitable for automated screening and lesion counting in heterogenous large-scale clinical trials, reducing the burden of manual quantification.

9
Multimodal axes reveal individualized amyloid-β , tau, and neurodegeneration coupling in aging and Alzheimer s disease

Poulakis, K.; Ioannou, K.; Bezgin, G.; Chiotis, K.; Iturria-Medina, Y.

2026-05-26 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353955 medRxiv
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Can we decode Alzheimers disease (AD) heterogeneity into a few portable axes that capture how amyloid-{beta}, tau and neurodegeneration (A-T-N) spatially co vary in vivo? To answer this question, we built a pipeline that harmonizes longitudinal amyloid-{beta}/tau PET and T1 MRI (gray matter) from ADNI cohort (12,430 images) with mixed effects modeling and then derived stage specific multimodal axes (mVCs) using linked component analysis, with robustness tested in simulations and external validation in the OASIS cohort (4,958 images). We identified a small set of multimodal axes that (i) recapitulate early tau weighted variation in cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals, AD like A-T-N coupling in cognitively impaired (CI) individuals and atypical CU and CI participants with posterior (precuneus/occipitoparietal) and fronto insular/frontal weighted patterns, (ii) map onto domain specific cognition, APOE e4, and blood/CSF biomarkers of neurodegeneration, neuroaxonal injury and astrocyte activation, (iii) predict clinical transitions, (iv) generalize in an independent cohort, and (v) demonstrate modelling robustness to missing data, high dimensionality, and cross-cohort variability, enabling direct application of the extracted axes to new datasets for biomarker discovery and stratification. Multimodal axes provide a portable, interpretable layer for quantifying amyloid-{beta}-tau-neurodegeneration coupling at the individual level, complementing current biomarker-based staging frameworks based on A-T-N status and tau PET topography, and can be computed on new datasets to aid clinical assessment and trial enrichment.

10
Deriving OCT-Equivalent Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Thickness Maps from Fundus Photographs with Deep Learning Improves Glaucoma Diagnosis

Shi, L.; Shi, M.; Chung, I. Y.; Pasquale, L. R.; Shen, L. Q.; Wang, M.

2026-05-27 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354047 medRxiv
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Purpose: To develop and evaluate a deep learning model that predicts optical coherence tomography (OCT)-equivalent retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) maps directly from color fundus photographs and to assess their diagnostic value for glaucoma detection. Design: Retrospective model development and evaluation study. Participants: 15,031 paired fundus photographs and spectral-domain OCT scans collected at Massachusetts Eye and Ear between 2011 and 2022. Methods: Paired fundus and OCT images were used to train a U-Net-based model to predict pixel-wise RNFLT maps with artifact-corrected supervision. Diagnostic performance was evaluated across single-modality models (fundus photos only, real RNFLT maps, predicted RNFLT maps) and multimodal fusion models (fundus + predicted RNFLT maps). Stratified analyses examined model performance across glaucoma severity and demographic subgroups. Glaucoma was defined based on standard criteria applied to Humphrey 24-2 visual field testing. Main Outcome Measures: Mean absolute error (MAE) and structural similarity index (SSIM) for RNFLT map prediction. Area under the ROC curve (AUC) and accuracy for glaucoma detection. Results: RNFLT map prediction achieved a MAE = 15.4 m and a SSIM = 0.65, measured against artifact-corrected RNFLT maps derived from OCT. For glaucoma detection, the predicted RNFLT-only classifier outperformed the fundus-only classifier (AUC 0.889 vs 0.883, p < 0.005; Accuracy 82.0% vs 78.0%), but performed worse than the real-RNFLT-only classifier (AUC 0.889 vs 0.903, p < 0.005). Multimodal fusion of fundus images with predicted RNFLT maps improved performance, achieving an AUC of 0.909, outperforming all single-modality inputs (p < 0.005 vs fundus-only, predicted-RNFLT-only, and real-RNFLT-only). Performance gains between the fundus-only and the multimodal classifier were greater in early-stage glaucoma compared to severe cases: accuracy increased from 55.3% to 64.0% in mild cases, from 71.5% to 80.4% in moderate cases, and from 90.0% to 94.6% in severe cases. Conclusions: Predicted RNFLT maps derived from fundus photographs provide quantitative, OCT-like structural information and improve glaucoma detection. Unlike prior work that predicted only summary RNFLT values, our model generates full RNFLT maps that better support glaucoma classification than fundus images alone. This approach offers a scalable pathway for early glaucoma screening and expands diagnostic access in resource-limited settings.

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Developing and Evaluating Deep Learning Approaches for Visual Field Denoising in Glaucoma

Baek, J. S.; Lokhande, A.; Neuenschwander, D.; Shi, M.; Wang, M.

2026-06-01 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354019 medRxiv
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Purpose To investigate the relative efficacy of nine distinct visual field (VF) denoising artificial intelligence (AI) methods and a pathology-aware AI strategy to discourage over-correction of glaucomatous defects. Design Retrospective study. Participants 87,940 paired visual field (VF) and optical coherence tomography (OCT) samples from a tertiary academic center. Methods Denoising models were trained on a separate VF-only dataset and evaluated on an independent structure-function dataset of paired VF-OCT samples. We implemented and evaluated nine distinct VF denoising strategies representing three broad categories: baseline measurements, self-supervised and image restoration models (including Noise2Noise, Noise2Void, and NAFNet), and latent variable compression-based models (autoencoders and variational autoencoders). All models were designed to reconstruct VF sensitivity maps. We then predicted retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) maps from the denoised VFs using a fixed, independently trained VF-to-RNFLT prediction model. Main Outcome Measures Predicted VF and RNFLT maps and resultant evaluation metrics. Results The raw VF baseline achieved a global R2 of 0.5468 and MAE of 16.83 um. Restoration-based models maintained or slightly improved concordance, with the pathology-aware NAFNet achieving the highest global R2 of 0.5485 and a comparable MAE of 16.82 um. In contrast, compression-based models degraded concordance, with CNN-VAE showing a significant reduction (R2 approximately 0.50). In severe glaucoma, concordance decreased across all methods; however, compression architectures exhibited disproportionately greater degradation compared with restoration-based approaches. Conclusions We present a comparative benchmark of AI-based VF denoising strategies paired with structure-function evaluation. While restoration-based models can reduce variability without loss of biological signal, latent compression risks attenuating clinically meaningful defects. Visually smoother fields are not necessarily more biologically accurate.

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Assessing Lipid Core Burden Index with Depolarization-Sensitive Optical Frequency Domain Imaging

Jones, G.; Otsuka, K.; Fujisawa, N.; Yamaura, H.; Matsumoto, K.; Okamoto, A.; Yamaguchi, T.; Shimada, T.; Kagawa, S.; Yamazaki, T.; Akasaka, T.; Bouma, B. E.; Villiger, M.; Fukuda, D.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353889 medRxiv
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Background: Quantitative lipid assessment is central to identifying rupture-prone coronary plaques and represents a therapeutic target for lipid-lowering therapy. Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS)-derived lipid core burden index (LCBI) is well validated and widely used for detecting lipid-rich lesions. Optical frequency domain imaging (OFDI) is increasingly adopted for guiding percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) due to its high-resolution structural imaging capabilities. Depolarization-sensitive OFDI (depOFDI) provides intrinsic lipid contrast and may enable combined structural and compositional plaque characterization within a single OFDI-based platform. Objective: To define an OFDI-derived lipid metric and evaluate its agreement with NIRS-derived LCBI. Methods: Thirty-three patients underwent both polarization-sensitive OFDI and NIRS-intravascular ultrasound imaging during PCI. After exclusion of 4 datasets, 29 co-registered pullbacks were analyzed. A signal-to-noise-corrected depolarization metric was used to identify lipid-rich regions and generate depOFDI chemograms. maxLCBI4mm value and location, as well as total LCBI, were computed and compared with NIRS. Results: depOFDI demonstrated strong agreement with NIRS, showing high correlation for maxLCBI4mm (r^2 = 0.862) and total LCBI (r^2 = 0.867), along with strong spatial concordance for the location of the maxLCBI4mm (r^2 = 0.900). Bland-Altman analysis of LCBI4mm showed minimal bias (10.7) with 95% limits of agreement of [81.4 to 102.8]. Conclusions: depOFDI enables accurate quantification of lipid burden alongside the high-resolution structural information inherently provided by OFDI. Because depolarization metrics can be derived from polarization-diverse detection available in many commercial OFDI systems, this approach provides a practical pathway toward comprehensive plaque characterization within existing PCI workflows, without the need for additional imaging modalities.

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A Novel Integrated Nomogram for Predicting Prognosis in Pediatric Dilated Cardiomyopathy

Dai, Y.; Wang, Y.; Fan, Y.; Sun, H.; Dai, Z.; Tian, Z.; Wang, P.; Jia, H.; Zhang, L.; Han, B.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354421 medRxiv
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Background: Pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a leading cause of heart failure and transplantation, with variable prognosis and high early mortality. This study developed and validated a nomogram predicting short-term mortality risk to guide clinical decisions. Methods: The data were sourced from the Pediatric Cardiomyopathy Database at Shandong Provincial Hospital. Cox regression analysis was conducted to determine outcome-associated factors, and a nomogram was developed to estimate 1, 3, and 5year mortality risks for children with DCM. Model effectiveness was assessed through the concordance index (C-index) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Additionally, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to evaluate the model's predictive accuracy and clinical relevance. Results: A cohort of 106 children diagnosed with primary DCM and who underwent genetic analysis was studied, with a median diagnostic age of 10 months (ranging from 5 to 84 months), comprising 50 girls (47.2%). The rate of detecting genetic mutations was 28.3%, uncovering 14 gene variants linked to DCM, with TTN mutations being the most common. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that both sex and NT-proBNP levels had a significant impact on survival rates among pediatric DCM patients.The model exhibited strong discriminative performance, calibration, and clinical net benefit, as assessed by the C-index, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Conclusions: The prediction model created in this research shows strong accuracy in forecasting survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years for children with DCM, highlighting its significant relevance in clinical settings.

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PIE Toolbox: SSM-PCA Based Software for PET Diagnostic Pattern Analysis

Romanov, M.; Kireev, M.; Didur, M.; Cherednichenko, D.; Korotkov, A.; Valdes-Sosa, P.; Fan, Q.; Wang, Q.

2026-06-01 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354341 medRxiv
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One of the prominent methods in neuroimaging data processing is SSM-PCA, which is based on principal component analysis and allows for the identification of diagnostically significant patterns in the form of statistical maps. We developed software, PIE Toolbox, employs SSM-PCA and classification based on the obtained diagnostic patterns revealed from functional and structural tomographic brain imaging. The program supports the entire analysis pipeline including preprocessing of brain images, diagnostic patterns extraction, building classification models, and prediction based on them. The resulting diagnostic patterns are weighted principal components obtained through SSM-PCA, or their linear combinations. PIE Toolbox allows selection of relevant structural and functional brain patterns, computation of their expression values in regions of interest, classification using support vector machines, and evaluation of model performance via cross-validation. This approach enables the use of patterns as features of intergroup differences for individual diagnosis. The software has been validated on both simulated and ADNI datasets.

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Voxel-wise temporal decomposition of hypoxia-targeted BOLD MRI: method development and proof-of-concept application in glioblastoma

Schmidlechner, T.; Stumpo, V.; Jehli, E.; Zerweck, L.; Bellomo, J.; Gönel, M.; Müller, F.; Sebök, M.; Bink, A.; Kulcsar, Z.; Weller, M.; Regli, L.; Fierstra, J.; van Niftrik, C. H. B.

2026-05-29 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354265 medRxiv
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Hypoxia-targeted BOLD MRI is a novel technique, which probes oxygenation physiology in response to a controlled transient hypoxia stimulus. In glioblastoma, the signal response is spatially and temporally heterogeneous. We developed a voxel-wise temporal decomposition framework for hypoxia-targeted BOLD MRI that separates the arrival of responses, transition phases, and steady state during controlled isocapnic hypoxia. Twenty healthy controls underwent 3-T BOLD MRI during a double hypoxic step challenge to establish a normative reference. Three patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma were included as proof-of-concept cases. For each voxel, we estimated response arrival delay (Delaycorr), delay to plateau, delay to return and an O2-normalized steady-state response (HypoxiaSS). Healthy-control maps were used to construct a voxel-wise normative atlas and, for HypoxiaSS, a global-response-adjusted model for patient deviation mapping. In healthy controls, HypoxiaSS showed lower supratentorial between-subject variabilitythan both whole-stimulus comparators (coefficient of variation: 1.77 versus 2.36 for Hypoxiaavg) and higher voxel-level step-to-step agreement (ICC(2,1): median 0.951 versus 0.792 for Hypoxiaavg). Whole-stimulus averaging exhibited a systematic step-2 signal amplification present in 19 of 20 subjects, which was absent from HypoxiaSS. Asingle global response scalar explained a median 72.5% of voxel-wise between-subject variance in HypoxiaSS. In proof-of-concept patient analyses, G-adjusted HypoxiaSS deviation maps and timing maps identified spatially coherentabnormalities that were partly complementary and extended beyond conventional MRI-defined lesion margins.Temporal decomposition improves the stability and interpretability of hypoxia-targeted BOLD MRI and provides a practical framework for population-referenced physiological mapping and atlas-based deviation mapping in glioblastoma.

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Wearable and Interview-based Assessment of Psychological Risk in Alzheimers Caregivers: Machine Learning vs. Large Language Models

Xiao, J.; Zhao, Z.; King, Z. D.; Khalid, M.; Davies, S.; Zanna, K.; Argueta, D. L.; Brice, K. N.; Wu-Chung, E. L.; Lai, V. D.; Paoletti-Hatcher, J.; Denny, B. T.; Henry, S.; Schulz, P. E.; Fagundes, C. P.; Sano, A.

2026-05-27 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353993 medRxiv
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Spousal caregivers of individuals with Alzheimers disease and related dementias frequently experience elevated perceived stress, caregiver burden, and loneliness, which are associated with adverse health outcomes. Early identification is therefore critical for timely intervention. Existing approaches commonly rely on wearable sensor data and standardized psychological questionnaires, while recent multimodal methods aim to improve prediction by integrating behavioral and linguistic information. In this study, we explored three modality configurations, wearable-derived features, interview-based text, and their combination, to classify caregiver psychological risk using the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS), Zarit Burden Interview, and UCLA Loneliness Scale. We compared traditional machine learning models and large language models (LLMs) (Gemini 2.0, Llama 4, and GPT-4o) under psychometrician-centered and caregiver-centered prompting strategies. Traditional machine learning models performed better under multimodal settings, while LLMs achieved stronger performance with Interview-Only input. We further demonstrate that PSS was the most predictable construct and prompting strategies substantially influenced LLM performance.

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Fisher information matrix computation for joint longitudinal and survival models to support clinical study design and covariate effect assessment

Fayette, L.; Brendel, K.; Mentre, F.

2026-06-01 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354340 medRxiv
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Joint modelling of longitudinal data using non-linear mixed effects models and time-to-event outcomes provides a suitable framework to account for informative censoring when estimating biomarker dynamics and quantifying event risk using covariates and longitudinal trajectories. Their usefulness in clinical research depends on data collection design, particularly to precisely estimate the association (link) parameter between longitudinal and survival processes. However, optimal design strategies have so far been addressed separately for longitudinal and survival endpoints and remain unexplored for joint models. We propose two Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) computation methods for joint models, relying on Monte-Carlo integration over observations combined with either Markov Chains Monte-Carlo or Adaptive Gaussian Quadrature to integrate random effects. Their accuracy is assessed against clinical trial simulations in an oncological example based on the HORIZON III study with a tumour-growth-survival model including discrete and continuous covariates. We apply these methods to quantify the impact of follow-up duration, sampling richness, sample size, and covariate distribution on parameter uncertainty and test power. In our example, longitudinal-parameter uncertainty is barely affected by follow-up duration or sampling richness, whereas survival-parameter uncertainty decreases substantially from 1-year to 2-year follow-up. The number of subjects needed (NSN) to achieve <15\% uncertainty on the link parameter is comparable for a 2-year rich design and a 3-year sparse design. Optimal covariate distributions are stable across designs and systematically improve test power, outperforming longer and richer but non-optimised designs. These FIM-based methods accurately predict uncertainty and test powers, enabling design evaluation and NSN computation for joint-model-based clinical studies.

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VOGeo-Gaze: Calibration-Free, Geometry-Aware Deep Learning for Real-Time Gaze Tracking in Clinical Video-Oculography

Zhao, J.; Ahmadi, S.-A.; Decker, J.; Zwergal, A.; Eulenburg, P. z.; Flanagin, V. L.; Wuehr, M.

2026-05-29 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354254 medRxiv
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Quantitative eye movement analysis is important for neuro- logical diagnostics, yet existing video-oculography (VOG) systems typ- ically require calibration, device-specific settings, or accurate gaze la- bels. We present VOGeo-Gaze, a real-time, calibration-free, geometry- aware neural network that estimates gaze by reconstructing anatomi- cally meaningful eyeball parameters from image features. The method combines segmentation-driven projection geometry, a refraction-aware pupil correction module, and temporal anatomical stabilization, so gaze is derived from interpretable eye geometry rather than direct angular regression. Trained only on the public TEyeD dataset with weak gaze supervision, VOGeo-Gaze was evaluated on 116 clinical recordings from 17 patients and 19 healthy subjects using EyeSeeCam, a clinical gold- standard VOG system. It achieved median absolute angular errors of 0.33{whitebullet} horizontally and 0.35{whitebullet} vertically, with nearly 92% of recordings below 1{whitebullet} error while operating at >300 FPS. These results demonstrate sub-degree clinical gaze estimation without subject-specific calibration, camera intrinsics, or accurate gaze labels, providing a scalable and inter- pretable alternative to conventional VOG pipelines. Code is available at https://github.com/DSGZ-MotionLab/VOGeo-Gaze.

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Deep Learning Prediction of Personalized Peripapillary Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Thickness Norms from Fundus Images in Glaucoma

Yildiz, E.; Zha, L.; Zebardast, N.; Shi, M.; Wang, M.

2026-05-27 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354081 medRxiv
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Purpose: To predict retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) norms from fundus images. Methods: We selected 18,000 OCT scans and visual fields (VF) from the Massachusetts Eye and Ear Glaucoma Service. A U-Net-based deep learning model was developed to predict RNFLT norms from OCT en face fundus images. A total of 10,000 OCT scans with normal VFs (mean deviation [MD] [&ge;] -1 dB, glaucoma hemifield test within normal limits, and pattern standard deviation probability > 5%) tested within 30 days were used for training, while the remaining 8,000 OCT scans (mean VF MD: 3.3 +/- 4.9 dB), including 2,419 scans with normal VFs, were used for evaluation. Structure-function correlations between RNFLT maps and VFs were assessed using linear regression and VGG-16 across original RNFLT maps, deviation maps, and their combination. Performance was evaluated using correlation coefficients, mean absolute error (MAE), and R-squared. Results: Predicted RNFLT norm maps showed agreement with baseline RNFLT maps in eyes with normal VFs (R-squared = 0.81 +/- 0.13). RNFLT deviation maps correlated more strongly with VF MD than original RNFLT maps (R = 0.42 vs. 0.19, p < 0.01). In deep learning-based VF prediction, combining original and deviation maps achieved the best performance (MAE = 3.31 dB, R-squared = 0.39), outperforming the model (p < 0.05) using original RNFLT maps alone (MAE = 3.36 dB, R-squared = 0.35). Conclusions: Deep learning can estimate individualized RNFLT norms and improve structure-function assessment in glaucoma. Translational Relevance: Personalized RNFLT norm prediction may improve detection of glaucomatous damage.

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Normative Speech Modeling for ALS Diagnosis with Application to Other Neurodegenerative Diseases

Shah, M.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354057 medRxiv
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Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive neurodegenerative disease affecting more than 450,000 individuals worldwide and is frequently diagnosed more than 12 months after symptom onset, delaying intervention during a critical early window. Because up to 80% of patients develop dysarthria within two years, subtle changes in speech provide a signal of early bulbar motor neuron degeneration. However, existing speech-based systems rely on supervised classification trained on limited datasets, achieving moderate sensitivity and depending heavily on labeled disease examples, which restrict scalability and early detection. This study introduces SPEAK-NORM, the first-ever normative speech modeling framework for early ALS diagnosis, which learns age- and sex-conditioned motor-speech distributions exclusively from healthy individuals. A conditional variational autoencoder models coordination of hypoglossal, laryngeal, and respiratory motor pathways, and deviation from this healthy manifold is quantified through latent representations and reconstruction error to form a 354-dimensional profile. A calibrated linear Support Vector Machine performs subject-level classification under subject-disjoint validation. On the VOC-ALS database (n = 153), SPEAK-NORM achieves 98% accuracy with balanced sensitivity and specificity, significantly outperforming established clinical acoustic indices and prior systems. The framework maintains strong performance under cross-task generalization and when retrained on healthy controls in independent dementia and Parkinson disease cohorts, demonstrating disease-specific deviation patterns rather than generic neurodegenerative change. Spectral, temporal, and latent separations further support interpretability. By modeling healthy speech instead of memorizing disease examples, SPEAK-NORM enables scalable early neuromotor screening using recording devices, with potential to support earlier diagnosis, differential classification, and monitoring of ALS progression.